Hammarby (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hammarby (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals
Hammarby (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Hammarby (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City (K) squeezed past Hammarby (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hammarby (K) had 35% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 65%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.15 to 1.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hammarby (K).
What was the final score of Hammarby (K) vs Manchester City (K)?
Hammarby (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hammarby (K) vs Manchester City (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hammarby (K) 24%, draw 26%, Manchester City (K) 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.