Hammarby (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
50%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
2.51
Over
42%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.7pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
50%
Away Win
68%
-17.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
36%
+21.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
64%
-21.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 2.75
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
166 Passes 620
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby (K) Hammarby (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby (K)
1-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
2.15 xG 1.07
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
184 Passes 457
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) squeezed past Hammarby (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammarby (K) had 35% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 65%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.15 to 1.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hammarby (K).

What was the final score of Hammarby (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Hammarby (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hammarby (K) 24%, draw 26%, Manchester City (K) 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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