St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 1-4 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
9.57
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
72%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
Over Pick
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
29%
4-5
34%
6+
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
2%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+0.4pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 97%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
0.97/4.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.80
+45% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -39%
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
162 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 592 · 88%
7.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 49.0
7.5 Crosses 26.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
0.04 xG 4.84
19% Ball Possession 81%
2 Total Shots 36
2 Shots on Target 13
0 Corners 16
107 Passes 739
55% Pass Accuracy 90%
0 Box Touches 83
2 Crosses 49
12.11.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 7-0 HT 5-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
1-4
AWAY Barcelona (K)
1.29 xG 1.92
15% Ball Possession 85%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
92 Passes 894
56% Pass Accuracy 92%
5 Box Touches 45
2 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) swept aside St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) had 15% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 85%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.29 to 1.92.

What was the final score of St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 1-4 Barcelona (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 11%, draw 17%, Barcelona (K) 72%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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