Al Urooba 2-4 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
54%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.17
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.02
2-3 Goals
40%
2.32
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
4.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.6pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 71%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
0.96/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.10
-30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 85%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
14.7 Crosses 22.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Ain
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 3.57
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
146 Passes 439
65% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 47
5 Crosses 46
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
23.09.2021 Al Urooba Al Urooba 3-3 HT 0-3 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Urooba
2-4
AWAY Al Ain
1.57 xG 3.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
273 Passes 436
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 45
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain beat Al Urooba 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Urooba had 41% of the ball to Al Ain's 59%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.57 to 3.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Urooba and 2.00 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Ain?

Al Urooba 2-4 Al Ain in the UAE - League on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 21%, draw 25%, Al Ain 54%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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