Las Palmas vs Albacete Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Palmas v Albacete — Team-Based Signals
Las Palmas vs Albacete Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS2
1-2
HT 0-1
Albacete
İS2
3-2
HT 2-0
Albacete
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS2
3-2
HT 2-0
Albacete
İS2
Las Palmas 2-1 Albacete — Actual Match Statistics
Las Palmas squeezed past Albacete 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Las Palmas had 60% of the ball to Albacete's 40%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Las Palmas and 1.33 for Albacete.
What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Albacete?
Las Palmas 2-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Albacete?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 54%, draw 24%, Albacete 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.