Catanzaro 3-3 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Nov 2025

Catanzaro
3-3 HT 1-2
Pescara
📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Catanzaro vs Pescara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
60%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.04
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
21%
4.08
X/2
6%
11.15
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
7%
9.55
2/X
6%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Catanzaro win — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Catanzaro v Pescara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
2.07/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.11
+125% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
18.6 Crosses 15.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Catanzaro vs Pescara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pescara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.03.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
27.11.2022 Pescara Pescara 0-3 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
04.02.2006 Pescara Pescara 0-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
20.09.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
20.04.2005 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
14.11.2004 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB

Catanzaro 3-3 Pescara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
3-3
AWAY Pescara
2.45 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Pescara couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Catanzaro at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 57% of the ball to Pescara's 43%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.45 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Catanzaro and 0.83 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Pescara?

Catanzaro 3-3 Pescara in the Italy - Serie B on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 60%, draw 23%, Pescara 17%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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