Union Berlin (K) 1-1 Hamburger SV (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
35%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
56%
+7.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
17%
Away Win
21%
-4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.57/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.22
-52% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.5 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin (K)
1-1
AWAY Hamburger SV (K)
1.33 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
305 Passes 237
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Union Berlin (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin (K) and Hamburger SV (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Union Berlin (K) at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Berlin (K) had 54% of the ball to Hamburger SV (K)'s 46%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.33 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Union Berlin (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)?

Union Berlin (K) 1-1 Hamburger SV (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin (K) vs Hamburger SV (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin (K) 63%, draw 20%, Hamburger SV (K) 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Berlin (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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