İtalya U17 1-0 Burkina Faso U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup - U17, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U17 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Burkina Faso U17 EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
2.85/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.34
+40% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.5 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U17
1-0
AWAY Burkina Faso U17
0.64 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
351 Passes 179
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İtalya U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U17 nicked a narrow win over Burkina Faso U17 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya U17 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya U17 had 63% of the ball to Burkina Faso U17's 37%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.64 to 0.80.

What was the final score of İtalya U17 vs Burkina Faso U17?

İtalya U17 1-0 Burkina Faso U17 in the World Cup - U17 on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U17 vs Burkina Faso U17?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split İtalya U17 52%, draw 28%, Burkina Faso U17 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U17) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U17) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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