Marsilya (K) 2-0 Lens (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 21 Nov 2025

Marsilya (K)
2-0 HT 0-0
Lens (K)
📅21/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Marsilya (K) vs Lens (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.0
Draw
16%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+6.5pp
16%
Draw
25%
-8.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya (K) v Lens (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.52/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.02
-58% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.8 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Marsilya (K) 2-0 Lens (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya (K)
2-0
AWAY Lens (K)
0.70 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
318 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marsilya (K) vs Lens (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya (K) saw off Lens (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsilya (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Marsilya (K) had 52% of the ball to Lens (K)'s 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.70 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Marsilya (K) vs Lens (K)?

Marsilya (K) 2-0 Lens (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya (K) vs Lens (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Marsilya (K) 53%, draw 16%, Lens (K) 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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