Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Dec 2024

Wellington Phoenix (K)
2-0 HT 0-0
Sydney (K)
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.66
No
59%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
37%
+10.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.9pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Sydney (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.37/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.84
-26% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
13.0 Crosses 15.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sydney (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.48 xG 1.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
335 Passes 181
71% Pass Accuracy 57%
17 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-4 HT 0-2 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Sydney (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
2-0
AWAY Sydney (K)
0.59 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 272
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
8 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) got the better of Sydney (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 50% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 50%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.59 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 48%, draw 21%, Sydney (K) 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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