Arema Malang 3-2 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.25/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.51
-11% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Arema Malang vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang edged past PSBS Biak Numfor 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arema Malang as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Arema Malang vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Arema Malang 3-2 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 41%, draw 32%, PSBS Biak Numfor 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arema Malang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
21 Dec 2024
11:30 Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang Analysis →
15:00 Dewa United vs Persis Solo Analysis →
15:00 Persija Jakarta vs PSS Sleman Analysis →