USM Oujda 2-1 Olympique Khouribga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Khouribga EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.73/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.79
+19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +61%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Olympique Khouribga
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.11.2023 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Oujda FAS2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Olympique Khouribga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda edged past Olympique Khouribga 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Oujda as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Olympique Khouribga?

USM Oujda 2-1 Olympique Khouribga in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Olympique Khouribga?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 52%, draw 28%, Olympique Khouribga 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Oujda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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