Heart of Lions 3-1 Basake Holy Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

Heart of Lions
3-1
Basake Holy Stars
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Gana - Premier League – 2024/2025

Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.7pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heart of Lions v Basake Holy Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heart of Lions EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Basake Holy Stars EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.96/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.27
-31% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heart of Lions got the better of Basake Holy Stars 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heart of Lions as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars?

Heart of Lions 3-1 Basake Holy Stars in the Gana - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heart of Lions vs Basake Holy Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heart of Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Heart of Lions 54%, draw 26%, Basake Holy Stars 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heart of Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heart of Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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