PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.7pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
04.11.2023 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
2-2
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
350 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle (K) and Heerenveen (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was PEC Zwolle (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, PEC Zwolle (K) had 53% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 47%, shots finished 19-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PEC Zwolle (K) and 1.00 for Heerenveen (K).

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle (K) 45%, draw 18%, Heerenveen (K) 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
21 Dec 2024
18:30 Feyenoord (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K) Analysis →
18:30 Utrecht (K) vs Telstar (K) Analysis →