Çorluspor 1947 3-2 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorluspor 1947 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorluspor 1947
3-2
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çorluspor 1947 vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorluspor 1947 squeezed past Alanya Kestelspor 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çorluspor 1947 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Çorluspor 1947 had 47% of the ball to Alanya Kestelspor's 53%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Çorluspor 1947 vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Çorluspor 1947 3-2 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorluspor 1947 vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorluspor 1947 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Çorluspor 1947 43%, draw 27%, Alanya Kestelspor 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorluspor 1947), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çorluspor 1947) ✓ BTTS Yes
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