Kagera Sugar 2-5 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 21 Dec 2024

Kagera Sugar
2-5
Simba
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi – 2024

Kagera Sugar vs Simba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
12.23
Draw
33%
4.81
Away
33%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
3.06
No
50%
1.32
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
6%
+27.3pp
33%
Draw
18%
+15.1pp
33%
Away Win
76%
-42.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
28%
+21.5pp
50%
BTTS No
72%
-21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagera Sugar v Simba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba EU Bookmakers 79%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.29/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.29
+46% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kagera Sugar vs Simba Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagera Sugar
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Simba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 1-1 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
26.01.2022 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 1-0 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Kagera Sugar vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba ran out comfortable winners over Kagera Sugar 5-2 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Simba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kagera Sugar had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kagera Sugar and 0.50 for Simba.

What was the final score of Kagera Sugar vs Simba?

Kagera Sugar 2-5 Simba in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagera Sugar vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagera Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Kagera Sugar 33%, draw 33%, Simba 33%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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