Mantova vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mantova v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Mantova 0-1 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli found just enough to beat Mantova 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Mantova at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 58% to 42% in Mantova's favour, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.67 — on chances, Mantova could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Empoli led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Mantova against 1.75 for Empoli.
Mantova vs Empoli Result & Final Score
Mantova 0-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie B on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mantova vs Empoli Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mantova 41%, draw 26%, Empoli 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.