Hoffenheim II 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.7
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
20%
5.11
X/2
9%
7.62
X/X
13%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.6
2/2
12%
4.99
2/X
6%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.6 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.02/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.63
+24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
11.8 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
04.07.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 3-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim II
3-1
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
392 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim II vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim II saw off Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoffenheim II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hoffenheim II had 57% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 43%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim II vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Hoffenheim II 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim II vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim II 46%, draw 27%, Wehen Wiesbaden 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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