Ajax (K) 5-1 NAC Breda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.11
Draw
8%
8.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
21%
Over 2.5
79%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
85%
-4.9pp
7%
Draw
8%
-1.0pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.79/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/6.01
+28% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -50%
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
452 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 7.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
5-1
AWAY NAC Breda (K)
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
451 Passes 142
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs NAC Breda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) cruised past NAC Breda (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (79%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 68% of the ball to NAC Breda (K)'s 32%, shots finished 19-4.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs NAC Breda (K)?

Ajax (K) 5-1 NAC Breda (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs NAC Breda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 80%, draw 7%, NAC Breda (K) 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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