Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 ADO Den Haag (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
49%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
1.97
Over 2.5
66%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.63
No
35%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.1pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+10.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
47%
-12.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
53%
+12.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
57%
+7.8pp
35%
BTTS No
43%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.71/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.56
-50% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +109%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses 23.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
238 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) HOLK1
08.12.2024 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
287 Passes 361
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and ADO Den Haag (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 47% of the ball to ADO Den Haag (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and 4.00 for ADO Den Haag (K).

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 ADO Den Haag (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs ADO Den Haag (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 32%, draw 18%, ADO Den Haag (K) 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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