Sepahan 1-3 Kheybar Khorramabad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
3.06
No
65%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
28%
+6.2pp
65%
BTTS No
72%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 14%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+7% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.09.2025 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
26.01.2025 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad got the better of Sepahan 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sepahan at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sepahan and 0.00 for Kheybar Khorramabad.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Sepahan 1-3 Kheybar Khorramabad in the Iran - Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 64%, draw 21%, Kheybar Khorramabad 15%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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