Safa 0-1 Jwaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 21 Dec 2025

Safa
0-1 HT 0-0
Jwaya
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jwaya EU Bookmakers 39%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Safa
0-1
AWAY Jwaya
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Safa vs Jwaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jwaya nicked a narrow win over Safa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Jwaya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Safa had 48% of the ball to Jwaya's 52%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of Safa vs Jwaya?

Safa 0-1 Jwaya in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Jwaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jwaya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Safa 35%, draw 27%, Jwaya 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jwaya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jwaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →