FCSB 2-1 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.11
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 34% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.46/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.50
+21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
13.8 Crosses 14.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
291 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
27.04.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-2 HT 0-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
16.03.2025 FCSB FCSB 3-3 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
02.03.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 0-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
27.10.2024 FCSB FCSB 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
19.05.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 2-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
2-1
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.56 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
323 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB edged past Rapid Bucarest 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FCSB had 50% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 50%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.56 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FCSB and 1.33 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Rapid Bucarest?

FCSB 2-1 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FCSB 47%, draw 29%, Rapid Bucarest 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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