Leicester City 1-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Jan 2024

Leicester City
1-1 HT 1-0
Ipswich Town
📅22/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Leicester City vs Ipswich Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 32% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.4
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
4.33
X/2
8%
8.47
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
10%
23.0
2/2
7%
6.16
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.8pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City v Ipswich Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.65/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.14
-23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.0 Crosses 15.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Leicester City vs Ipswich Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.30 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
484 Passes 372
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
22.02.2014 Leicester City Leicester City 3-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
23.11.2013 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
02.03.2013 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
17.11.2012 Leicester City Leicester City 6-0 HT 4-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
09.04.2012 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL

Leicester City 1-1 Ipswich Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
1-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.25 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
414 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City and Ipswich Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Leicester City had 56% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 44%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leicester City and 0.67 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Ipswich Town?

Leicester City 1-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Championship on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 51%, draw 26%, Ipswich Town 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leicester City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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