Leganes vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leganes v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Leganes vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Leganes
İS2
0-3
HT 0-2
Leganes
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
4-0
HT 3-0
Leganes
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS2
Leganes 2-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes saw off Burgos 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Leganes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Leganes had 40% of the ball to Burgos's 60%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leganes and 0.83 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Leganes vs Burgos?
Leganes 2-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leganes vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leganes 40%, draw 32%, Burgos 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.