Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 42%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.04/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.70
+150% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
13.6 Crosses 20.7
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.72 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
338 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2023 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 0-3 HT 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
0-1
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
1.20 xG 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
368 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem edged past Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beitar Jerusalem as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 54% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 46%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.20 to 2.00.

What was the final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beitar Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 33%, draw 25%, Beitar Jerusalem 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beitar Jerusalem) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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