Benevento 1-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
13%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.43/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.18
-3% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Casertana
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Casertana Casertana 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
01.11.2015 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 1-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
20.03.2015 Casertana Casertana 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
09.11.2014 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
29.10.2014 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 2-0 Benevento Benevento İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-0
AWAY Casertana
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento nicked a narrow win over Casertana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Benevento made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Benevento had 59% of the ball to Casertana's 41%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Benevento and 0.80 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Casertana?

Benevento 1-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benevento 38%, draw 26%, Casertana 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5
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