AC Milan (K) 3-2 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 22 Jan 2024

AC Milan (K)
3-2 HT 2-0
Como (K)
📅22/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2023/2024

AC Milan (K) vs Como (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-13.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+13.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AC Milan (K) v Como (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

AC Milan (K) vs Como (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Como (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA

AC Milan (K) 3-2 Como (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
3-2
AWAY Como (K)
2.13 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
302 Passes 189
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) squeezed past Como (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 57% of the ball to Como (K)'s 43%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.13 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AC Milan (K)'s control.

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)?

AC Milan (K) 3-2 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 54%, draw 20%, Como (K) 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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