Napoli vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli v Inter — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Inter
İTA
3-1
HT 0-0
Inter
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Inter
İTA
3-2
HT 2-1
Napoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Inter
İTA
Napoli 0-1 Inter — Actual Match Statistics
Inter nicked a narrow win over Napoli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Napoli had 35% of the ball to Inter's 65%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.21 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Napoli and 1.67 for Inter.
What was the final score of Napoli vs Inter?
Napoli 0-1 Inter in the Italy - Super Cup on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli vs Inter?
Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Napoli 26%, draw 27%, Inter 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.