Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Mısır Prediction — Model Probabilities
Yeşil Burun Adaları v Mısır — Team-Based Signals
Yeşil Burun Adaları 2-2 Mısır — Actual Match Statistics
Yeşil Burun Adaları and Mısır finished all square at 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mısır at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. At 1.91 (~52%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, Yeşil Burun Adaları had 47% of the ball to Mısır's 53%, shots finished 6-27, expected goals 0.65 to 1.65.
Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Mısır Result & Final Score
Yeşil Burun Adaları 2 - 2 Mısır in the Africa Cup of Nations on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Yeşil Burun Adaları vs Mısır Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Yeşil Burun Adaları 14%, draw 23%, Mısır 63%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.