Kapaz 2-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Jan 2024

Kapaz
2-1 HT 1-1
Turan Tovuz
📅22/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
34%
-9.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.0pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Turan Tovuz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.02/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 4-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.08.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
15.04.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-0 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.02.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.12.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 2-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERK
09.12.2022 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz edged past Turan Tovuz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Turan Tovuz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kapaz and 2.00 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?

Kapaz 2-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 24%, draw 33%, Turan Tovuz 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Turan Tovuz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
22 Jan 2024
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