Avai vs Nação Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Nação — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Nação Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BRSCK
Avai 3-2 Nação — Actual Match Statistics
Avai edged past Nação 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Nação at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avai had 54% of the ball to Nação's 46%, shots finished 15-16.
What was the final score of Avai vs Nação?
Avai 3-2 Nação in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Nação?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nação win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Avai 37%, draw 20%, Nação 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.