22/01/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
ASFB vs Rahimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
29%
4-5
31%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
70%
21%
Draw
17%
28%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ASFB v Rahimo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ASFB
The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rahimo
The Market 16%
+24% /
+24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
386 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ASFB vs Rahimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rahimo nicked a narrow win over ASFB 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was ASFB at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of ASFB vs Rahimo?
ASFB 0-1 Rahimo in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ASFB vs Rahimo?
Before kick-off our model rated a ASFB win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ASFB 51%, draw 21%, Rahimo 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (ASFB)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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BURK
More Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division
22 Jan 2024