Arjantin U23 1-1 Paraguay U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin U23
1-1
AWAY Paraguay U23
1.98 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
379 Passes 190
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arjantin U23 vs Paraguay U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U23 and Paraguay U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arjantin U23 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arjantin U23 had 64% of the ball to Paraguay U23's 36%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.98 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Arjantin U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Arjantin U23 1-1 Paraguay U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arjantin U23 48%, draw 25%, Paraguay U23 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arjantin U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arjantin U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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