22/01/2024
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-1
Suchitepequez vs Marquense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
29%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Suchitepequez win — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
60%
Home Win
63%
19%
Draw
20%
21%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Suchitepequez v Marquense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Suchitepequez
The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marquense
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
334 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
267 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Suchitepequez saw off Marquense 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Suchitepequez as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Suchitepequez vs Marquense?
Suchitepequez 2-0 Marquense in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Suchitepequez vs Marquense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Suchitepequez win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Suchitepequez 60%, draw 19%, Marquense 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suchitepequez) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Suchitepequez)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
22 Jan 2024