Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.35/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.44
+66% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mixco
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 12
03.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zacapa Tellioz nicked a narrow win over Mixco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zacapa Tellioz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Mixco?

Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 44%, draw 28%, Mixco 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
22 Jan 2024
00:00 Coatepeque vs Coban Imperial Analysis →