FC Goa 2-3 Odisha FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+98% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Odisha FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.93 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 206
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
06.02.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
10.12.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
01.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-1 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
24.12.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
17.02.2021 FC Goa FC Goa 3-1 HT 2-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Odisha FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC edged past FC Goa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Odisha FC made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Goa and 1.00 for Odisha FC.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Odisha FC?

FC Goa 2-3 Odisha FC in the India - Super Cup on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Odisha FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 37%, draw 26%, Odisha FC 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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