Drogheda United 3-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Leinster Senior Cup, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bohemians
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 0.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
199 Passes 313
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
04.08.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 4-2 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
21.04.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
06.03.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-1 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.10.2022 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United got the better of Bohemians 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Drogheda United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Drogheda United and 2.00 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Drogheda United 3-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Leinster Senior Cup on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 35%, draw 25%, Bohemians 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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