Nojom El Mostabel 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.29
No
71%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+11.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.2pp
29%
BTTS Yes
40%
-10.1pp
71%
BTTS No
60%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojom El Mostabel EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 56%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+75% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -67%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Nojom El Mostabel vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla squeezed past Nojom El Mostabel 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ghazl El Mehalla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Nojom El Mostabel vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Nojom El Mostabel 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojom El Mostabel vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nojom El Mostabel 33%, draw 28%, Ghazl El Mehalla 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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