Sporting Braga U23 3-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+48% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -54%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
19.12.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
09.10.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
3-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 beat Leixoes U23 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 48% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 52%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Braga U23 and 0.00 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Sporting Braga U23 3-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 56%, draw 26%, Leixoes U23 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
22 Jan 2024
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