Real Republicans 0-1 Diamond Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sierra Leone - Premier League, 22 Jan 2024

Real Republicans
0-1
Diamond Stars
📅22/01/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sierra Leone - Premier League – 2023/2024

Real Republicans vs Diamond Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Republicans v Diamond Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Republicans EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Diamond Stars EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
467 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Real Republicans vs Diamond Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diamond Stars edged past Real Republicans 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Republicans at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Real Republicans vs Diamond Stars?

Real Republicans 0-1 Diamond Stars in the Sierra Leone - Premier League on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Republicans vs Diamond Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Republicans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Republicans 45%, draw 22%, Diamond Stars 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Republicans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Republicans) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →