Al Qaisoma 0-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.18/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+10% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qaisoma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma edged past Al Qaisoma 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma?

Al Qaisoma 0-1 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Qaisoma 36%, draw 25%, Al Najma 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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