22/01/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
25%
Draw
25%
39%
Away Win
45%
44%
Under 2.5
43%
56%
Over 2.5
57%
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
47%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Qaisoma v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Qaisoma
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Najma
EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% /
-22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
1.18/1.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+10%
/
-43%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-23%
/
+10%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
285 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.7
Yellow Cards
1.0
Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Qaisoma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Al Najma
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
48%
Ball Possession
52%
6
Total Shots
14
1
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
15.08.2023
Al Najma
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Qaisoma
SUUD1
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Qaisoma
SUUD1
POST-MATCH
Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Najma edged past Al Qaisoma 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma?
Al Qaisoma 0-1 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Qaisoma vs Al Najma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Qaisoma 36%, draw 25%, Al Najma 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Najma)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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SUUD1
More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
22 Jan 2024