Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 22 Jan 2025

Adelaide United
2-2 HT 0-0
Auckland
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United vs Auckland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.69
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.0
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
10%
7.66
X/X
15%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
2/2
17%
5.14
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United v Auckland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.01/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.65
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.1 Crosses 12.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United
2-2
AWAY Auckland
1.23 xG 0.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
388 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adelaide United vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United and Auckland shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Adelaide United had 60% of the ball to Auckland's 40%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.23 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Auckland?

Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 43%, draw 25%, Auckland 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →