Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 22 Jan 2025

Al Ittihad Kalba
0-1 HT 0-1
Baniyas SC
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2024/2025

Al Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.12
Draw
40%
3.54
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 31% vs market 17.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
43%
-12.3pp
40%
Draw
25%
+15.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad Kalba v Baniyas SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.61/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.66
+2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
327 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 86%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.4 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
269 Passes 266
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
07.04.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
05.11.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
26.05.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
16.01.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAECK
08.01.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-3 HT 0-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE

Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 Baniyas SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
0-1
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.42 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
409 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC squeezed past Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 40% / 30%) promised a tight game; Baniyas SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 56% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 44%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.42 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baniyas SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 1.67 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas SC?

Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 31%, draw 40%, Baniyas SC 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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