ES Tunis 1-1 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Jan 2025

ES Tunis
1-1 HT 0-1
Olympique Beja
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

ES Tunis vs Olympique Beja Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
3.14
No
62%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.4pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.0pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
28%
+10.5pp
62%
BTTS No
72%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Tunis v Olympique Beja — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 8%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.90/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.43
+1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

ES Tunis vs Olympique Beja Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Olympique Beja
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.06.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
16.04.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
07.04.2021 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
26.01.2021 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-4 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis and Olympique Beja couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ES Tunis at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for ES Tunis and 0.75 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Olympique Beja?

ES Tunis 1-1 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 61%, draw 24%, Olympique Beja 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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