Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.18
Draw
10%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.89
Over 2.5
67%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.21
2-3 Goals
36%
2.09
4-5 Goals
32%
2.43
6+ Goals
15%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
56%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
79%
+0.0pp
10%
Draw
14%
-3.1pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+3.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
31%
+1.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
69%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
2.61/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.87
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
498 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
24.4 Crosses 10.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.02 xG 0.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
524 Passes 220
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
42 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
29.12.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
19.08.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
04.04.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
31.08.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
19.05.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
4-1
AWAY Al Fayha
2.24 xG 0.90
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
645 Passes 293
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Al Fayha 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 66% of the ball to Al Fayha's 34%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.24 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.33 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 79%, draw 10%, Al Fayha 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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