Torino 0-2 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Feb 2024

Torino
0-2 HT 0-0
Lazio
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.17
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.77
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.99
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
17%
5.23
X/2
9%
5.61
X/X
14%
3.35
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.41
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.5pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.26
+19% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.8 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lazio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.65 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
360 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Lazio Lazio 2-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
22.04.2023 Lazio Lazio 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
20.08.2022 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.04.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
23.09.2021 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
18.05.2021 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
0-2
AWAY Lazio
1.53 xG 0.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
436 Passes 346
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torino vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio got the better of Torino 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Torino at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Torino had 55% of the ball to Lazio's 45%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.53 to 0.51 — on chances, Torino could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Torino and 0.67 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Torino vs Lazio?

Torino 0-2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torino 44%, draw 28%, Lazio 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torino), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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