Al Hamriyah 3-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
42%
Away Win
51%
-8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 56%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.34/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.89
-74% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Arabi
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2023 Arabi 1-2 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
19.02.2023 Arabi 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
09.10.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-0 HT 0-0 Arabi BAE2
17.04.2022 Arabi 1-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
01.01.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-2 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hamriyah
3-1
AWAY Arabi
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah got the better of Arabi 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hamriyah had 31% of the ball to Arabi's 69%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Hamriyah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Hamriyah and 0.80 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Arabi?

Al Hamriyah 3-1 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 29%, draw 29%, Arabi 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arabi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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