Royal Pari 0-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.6pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.35/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.17
+6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.6 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Pari
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 2.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
159 Passes 332
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-1 HT 3-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
03.06.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-2 HT 0-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
01.10.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
24.09.2021 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-0 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
12.12.2020 Royal Pari Royal Pari 4-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
09.02.2020 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Pari
0-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
0.68 xG 0.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
281 Passes 137
79% Pass Accuracy 58%
22 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Pari vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi nicked a narrow win over Royal Pari 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Pari at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Royal Pari had 61% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 39%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.68 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Royal Pari and 1.67 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Royal Pari vs Nacional Potosi?

Royal Pari 0-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Pari vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Pari win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Royal Pari 46%, draw 26%, Nacional Potosi 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Royal Pari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Pari) ✓ Under 2.5
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