Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 Youssoufia Berrechid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.3 — our 26% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.80/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.79
+53% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 0-0 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
15.06.2022 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 HT 0-1 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid FAS
07.11.2021 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 1-0 HT 1-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
03.07.2021 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 3-1 HT 1-1 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid FAS
03.04.2021 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 0-1 HT 0-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
11.08.2020 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 1-1 HT 1-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
1-1
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mouloudia Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mouloudia Oujda and Youssoufia Berrechid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Mouloudia Oujda had 52% of the ball to Youssoufia Berrechid's 48%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mouloudia Oujda had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mouloudia Oujda and 0.67 for Youssoufia Berrechid.

What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 Youssoufia Berrechid in the Morocco - League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mouloudia Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 39%, draw 31%, Youssoufia Berrechid 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
22 Feb 2024
20:00 Ittihad Tanger vs UTS Rabat Analysis →