Hawks 1-1 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gambiya - GFA League, 22 Feb 2024

Hawks
1-1 HT 1-0
Milan
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.11
Draw
32%
7.78
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
85%
-31.5pp
31%
Draw
10%
+21.8pp
15%
Away Win
5%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hawks The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
479 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hawks vs Milan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hawks and Milan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hawks at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Hawks vs Milan?

Hawks 1-1 Milan in the Gambiya - GFA League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hawks vs Milan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hawks win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hawks 53%, draw 31%, Milan 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hawks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hawks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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